SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 20.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.22%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 2-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
20.54% ( 1.36) | 20.56% ( 0.91) | 58.9% ( -2.27) |
| Both teams to score 60.99% ( -0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.1% ( -2.3) | 35.9% ( 2.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.01% ( -2.58) | 57.99% ( 2.58) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.06) | 30.7% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.05% ( -0.07) | 66.95% ( 0.08) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.01% ( -1.3) | 11.99% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.58% ( -2.84) | 37.42% ( 2.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alanyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.32) 1-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.48)2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.76% Total : 20.54% | 1-1 @ 9.22% ( 0.56) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.56% | 1-2 @ 9.78% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.49)1-3 @ 6.91% ( -0.31)0-3 @ 5.86% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.19)1-4 @ 3.67% ( -0.37)0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.31)2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.22)1-5 @ 1.56% ( -0.25)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.21)2-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.45% Total : 58.9% |
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