SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 63.05%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 16.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 1-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
63.05% ( -0.09) | 20.29% ( 0.08) | 16.66% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.36% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.9% ( -0.35) | 41.1% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.5% ( -0.36) | 63.5% ( 0.36) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( -0.13) | 12.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.65% ( -0.28) | 38.35% ( 0.28) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.08% ( -0.2) | 37.92% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.31% ( -0.2) | 74.68% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trabzonspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)1-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.56% Total : 63.04% | 1-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.62% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.57% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 16.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
