SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 58.95%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 21.1% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.49%) and 1-3 (7.07%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (5.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
21.1% ( -0.38) | 19.95% ( -0.15) | 58.95% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 64.23% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.89% ( 0.21) | 32.11% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.31% ( 0.25) | 53.69% ( -0.25) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( -0.2) | 27.99% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.37% ( -0.25) | 63.63% ( 0.25) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.2% ( 0.2) | 10.8% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 65.16% ( 0.45) | 34.84% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 21.1% | 1-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 19.95% | 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.49% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 7.07% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.55% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.94% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 33 | 23 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 39 | 43 | 74 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 33 | 18 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 41 | 29 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 33 | 15 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 53 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 51 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 33 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 69 | 62 | 7 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 12 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 38 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 33 | 6 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 59 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 63 | -32 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 19 | 74 | -55 | 23 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
