SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Istanbulspor had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest Istanbulspor win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
32.1% ( -0.58) | 23.95% ( -0.33) | 43.95% ( 0.91) |
| Both teams to score 60.37% ( 0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.23% ( 1.34) | 41.77% ( -1.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.83% ( 1.34) | 64.17% ( -1.33) |
| Istanbulspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.76% ( 0.3) | 25.24% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.01% ( 0.41) | 59.99% ( -0.41) |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.95) | 19.24% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 49.04% ( 1.53) | 50.96% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Istanbulspor | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.1% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.1)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.3)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8% ( -0.25)0-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.26% Total : 43.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 26 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 31 | 21 | 5 | 5 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 63 | 30 | 33 | 68 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 48 | 62 | -14 | 38 |
| 11 | SivassporSivasspor | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 37 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 52 | -13 | 37 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 32 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 31 | 56 | -25 | 28 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 68 | -49 | 23 |
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