SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 72.44%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Trabzonspor had a probability of 11.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.97%), while for a Trabzonspor win it was 1-2 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Fenerbahce in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Fenerbahce.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Trabzonspor |
72.44% ( 1.12) | 15.72% ( -0.58) | 11.84% ( -0.54) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.08% ( 1.51) | 29.92% ( -1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.9% ( 1.79) | 51.1% ( -1.79) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.8% ( 0.59) | 7.19% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 73.87% ( 1.52) | 26.13% ( -1.52) |
| Trabzonspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.78% ( 0.22) | 37.22% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.99% ( 0.22) | 74% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Trabzonspor |
| 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.1)1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.39)4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.19)4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.07)5-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.18)5-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.12)5-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.11)6-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.11% Total : 72.44% | 1-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.24)3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.72% | 1-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.82% Total : 11.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 88 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 87 | 42 | 45 | 80 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 45 | 31 | 69 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 62 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 41 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 40 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 83 | -64 | 23 |
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