SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 64.76%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Giresunspor had a probability of 15.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Giresunspor win it was 2-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Giresunspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
15.8% ( 0.25) | 19.44% ( 0.36) | 64.76% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.23% ( -1.23) | 38.77% ( 1.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.92% ( -1.31) | 61.08% ( 1.31) |
| Giresunspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% ( -0.45) | 37.54% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.68% ( -0.45) | 74.32% ( 0.45) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( -0.51) | 11.27% ( 0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 64.12% ( -1.13) | 35.87% ( 1.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Giresunspor | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 15.8% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.23% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.44% | 0-2 @ 10.08% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0.04)0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.34)0-3 @ 7.34% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 7.19% ( -0.12)0-4 @ 4% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 3.92% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.1)0-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.71% ( -0.1)Other @ 4.22% Total : 64.76% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 36 | 28 | 4 | 4 | 83 | 27 | 56 | 88 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 36 | 25 | 5 | 6 | 87 | 42 | 45 | 80 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 78 | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 45 | 31 | 69 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 62 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 64 | 54 | 10 | 57 |
| 7 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 75 | 63 | 12 | 51 |
| 8 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 36 | 12 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 51 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 36 | 12 | 6 | 18 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 42 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 46 | 55 | -9 | 41 |
| 14 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 36 | 12 | 5 | 19 | 47 | 63 | -16 | 41 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 40 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 64 | -17 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 36 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 36 | 6 | 5 | 25 | 19 | 83 | -64 | 23 |
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