Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 16.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.
-0.07) 
0.02) 
