Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 48%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.36%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (8.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
0.25) 
-0.03) 
