Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 59.27%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.14%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pisa in this match.