SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Bari had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (12.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Palermo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Bari |
35.84% ( 0.28) | 29.65% ( -0.04) | 34.51% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.07% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.01% ( 0.13) | 63.98% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.82% ( 0.09) | 83.17% ( -0.09) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.08% ( 0.25) | 33.92% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.41% ( 0.27) | 70.59% ( -0.28) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.18% ( -0.1) | 34.81% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.45% ( -0.1) | 71.55% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Bari |
| 1-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.83% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 11.8% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.52% Total : 29.64% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0)Other @ 2.21% Total : 34.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 27 | 18 | 4 | 5 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 58 |
| 2 | Genoa | 27 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 31 | 19 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | BariBari | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 46 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 44 |
| 5 | RegginaReggina | 27 | 13 | 3 | 11 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 42 |
| 6 | Pisa | 27 | 10 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 41 |
| 7 | CagliariCagliari | 27 | 9 | 11 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | Parma | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Palermo | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 37 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 36 |
| 11 | Modena | 27 | 10 | 5 | 12 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 35 |
| 12 | Ternana | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 35 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 | Como | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 32 |
| 15 | Perugia | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 29 |
| 17 | BeneventoBenevento | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 27 |
| 18 | Brescia | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 26 |
| 19 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 26 |
| 20 | SPALSPAL | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 25 |
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