SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 36.44%. A win for Venezia had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Venezia win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
36.44% ( 0.56) | 27.99% ( 0.29) | 35.56% ( -0.85) |
| Both teams to score 47.81% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.77% ( -1.12) | 58.23% ( 1.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.13% ( -0.88) | 78.87% ( 0.89) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.43% ( -0.21) | 30.58% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.19% ( -0.25) | 66.81% ( 0.25) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( -1.09) | 31.13% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.54% ( -1.3) | 67.46% ( 1.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 7.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 36.44% | 1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.4)2-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.02% Total : 35.56% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Palermo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Modena | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Brescia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Pisa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | BariBari | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Ternana | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
| 20 | Lecco | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
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