SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
58.75% ( -0.11) | 23.11% ( 0.02) | 18.14% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.28% ( 0.04) | 50.72% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.38% ( 0.04) | 72.62% ( -0.04) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.04% ( -0.02) | 16.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.95% ( -0.04) | 47.05% ( 0.04) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.13% ( 0.13) | 41.87% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.67% ( 0.11) | 78.32% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.17% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.55% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 58.75% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.1% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 18.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 48 | 18 | 30 | 61 |
| 2 | Genoa | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | BariBari | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 49 |
| 4 | SudtirolSudtirol | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 47 |
| 5 | Pisa | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | RegginaReggina | 28 | 13 | 3 | 12 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 42 |
| 7 | CagliariCagliari | 29 | 10 | 12 | 7 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Parma | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 40 |
| 9 | Palermo | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 38 |
| 10 | AscoliAscoli | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Ternana | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Modena | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 38 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Como | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 35 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 34 |
| 15 | Perugia | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 30 |
| 16 | VeneziaVenezia | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 38 | -9 | 29 |
| 17 | SPALSPAL | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 28 |
| 18 | BeneventoBenevento | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 28 |
| 19 | Brescia | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 27 |
| 20 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 26 |
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