Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 45.22%. A win for Lecco had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.56%). The likeliest Lecco win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
