SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 53.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Brescia |
53.76% ( 1.33) | 24.85% ( -0.2) | 21.39% ( -1.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.18% ( -0.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.54% ( -0.39) | 53.46% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.02% ( -0.33) | 74.98% ( 0.33) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.39) | 19.85% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.06% ( 0.62) | 51.94% ( -0.61) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.12% ( -1.35) | 39.88% ( 1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.46% ( -1.26) | 76.55% ( 1.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.4)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.28)3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.75% Total : 53.76% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.84% | 0-1 @ 7.28% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.26)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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