SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 52.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Palermo | Draw | Brescia |
52.24% ( 0.27) | 25.4% ( 0.65) | 22.36% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 47.82% ( -2.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.44% ( -3.37) | 54.56% ( 3.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.09% ( -2.87) | 75.9% ( 2.88) |
| Palermo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.09% ( -1.22) | 20.9% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.37% ( -1.96) | 53.62% ( 1.96) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.46% ( -2.77) | 39.54% ( 2.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.77% ( -2.67) | 76.22% ( 2.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Palermo | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 12.93% ( 1.17) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.56)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.9% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.23% | 1-1 @ 12% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( 1.03)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.43)Other @ 0.77% Total : 25.4% | 0-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.43) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.32)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.39% Total : 22.36% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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