SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Modena had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brescia | Draw | Modena |
37.52% ( -1.94) | 27.61% ( 0.09) | 34.87% ( 1.85) |
| Both teams to score 48.93% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.12) | 56.83% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( -0.09) | 77.76% ( 0.1) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -1.19) | 29.23% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.82% ( -1.49) | 65.18% ( 1.49) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 1.16) | 30.87% ( -1.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.85% ( 1.35) | 67.16% ( -1.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brescia | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.44)3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.54% Total : 37.51% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.61% | 0-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 6.23% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.23)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.08% Total : 34.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 41 |
| 2 | Como | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 38 |
| 3 | Cittadella | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 36 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 20 | 11 | 35 |
| 5 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Cremonese | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 16 | 12 | 32 |
| 7 | Palermo | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 32 |
| 8 | Brescia | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 28 |
| 9 | Modena | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 28 |
| 10 | BariBari | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 26 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 24 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 23 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
| 14 | Pisa | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
| 15 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 21 |
| 16 | Lecco | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 20 |
| 17 | Ternana | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
| 18 | AscoliAscoli | 19 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 17 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 14 |
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