SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FeralpiSalo win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Modena had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a FeralpiSalo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FeralpiSalo | Draw | Modena |
37.81% ( -0.04) | 26.93% ( -0.01) | 35.25% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.07% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.85% ( 0.05) | 54.15% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.44% ( 0.05) | 75.56% ( -0.05) |
| FeralpiSalo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.24% ( 0) | 27.76% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.66% ( 0.01) | 63.34% ( -0.01) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.7% ( 0.06) | 29.3% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.73% ( 0.07) | 65.26% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| FeralpiSalo | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.5% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0)Other @ 1.97% Total : 37.81% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 3 | Palermo | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 20 |
| 4 | VeneziaVenezia | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 18 |
| 5 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 7 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 8 | Modena | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 11 | Brescia | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 13 |
| 12 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Pisa | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | BariBari | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Ternana | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 6 |
| 19 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
| 20 | Lecco | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 4 |
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