SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ternana | Draw | Brescia |
37.05% ( 0.08) | 28.12% ( -0.03) | 34.82% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.39% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.27% ( 0.12) | 58.72% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.74% ( 0.09) | 79.25% ( -0.09) |
| Ternana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.55% ( 0.11) | 30.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.35% ( 0.13) | 66.65% ( -0.13) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.14% ( 0.03) | 31.86% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.7% ( 0.04) | 68.3% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ternana | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 33 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 33 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 27 |
| 4 | Cremonese | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 26 |
| 5 | Modena | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 14 | 2 | 26 |
| 6 | Como | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 25 |
| 7 | Cittadella | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
| 8 | Palermo | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 24 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
| 10 | BariBari | 14 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Pisa | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 18 |
| 12 | SudtirolSudtirol | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 17 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 16 |
| 14 | Reggiana | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Brescia | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 | AscoliAscoli | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Lecco | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 13 |
| 18 | Ternana | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 19 | SpeziaSpezia | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 10 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 29 | -19 | 7 |
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