SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Brescia |
35.17% ( 0.02) | 26.14% ( 0.01) | 38.7% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.67% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( -0.05) | 50.85% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( -0.04) | 72.73% ( 0.05) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.25% ( -0.02) | 27.75% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.68% ( -0.02) | 63.32% ( 0.03) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.28% ( -0.03) | 25.72% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.35% ( -0.05) | 60.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Spezia | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.96% 2-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.51% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.17% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 38.7% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Parma | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 26 |
| 2 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | CatanzaroCatanzaro | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 21 |
| 4 | Palermo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 20 |
| 5 | Modena | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | Como | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
| 7 | SudtirolSudtirol | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 8 | Cremonese | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 16 |
| 9 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 15 |
| 10 | BariBari | 11 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 14 |
| 11 | Reggiana | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 14 |
| 12 | Brescia | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
| 13 | Cittadella | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 13 |
| 14 | AscoliAscoli | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 12 |
| 15 | Pisa | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | SpeziaSpezia | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 8 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 7 |
| 18 | Lecco | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 7 |
| 19 | Ternana | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 6 |
| 20 | FeralpiSaloFeralpiSalo | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 22 | -17 | 5 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
