SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 57.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 18.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Cremonese |
57.63% ( -0) | 23.78% ( 0) | 18.59% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.11% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0) | 52.69% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( 0) | 74.33% ( -0) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.92% | 18.07% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51% ( -0) | 48.99% ( 0) |
| Cremonese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.5% ( 0.01) | 42.49% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.14% ( 0.01) | 78.86% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Cremonese |
| 1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.48% 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-2 @ 1% 5-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.37% Total : 57.62% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 7.68% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.77% | 0-1 @ 6.57% 1-2 @ 4.81% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.84% Total : 18.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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