SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Lecce | 5 | -3 | 2 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 6 | -8 | 2 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Monza | 5 | -11 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.83%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
51.83% ( -0.15) | 25.97% ( 0.06) | 22.2% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.06% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.22% ( -0.13) | 56.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.28% ( -0.11) | 77.71% ( 0.1) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.02% ( -0.12) | 21.98% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.71% ( -0.19) | 55.28% ( 0.18) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.04% ( 0.01) | 40.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.48% ( 0.01) | 77.52% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Monza |
| 1-0 @ 13.64% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 51.83% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.23% Total : 22.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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