SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Lazio | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 9 | Torino | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Bologna | 5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Lecce | 4 | -2 | 2 |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Torino in this match.
| Result | ||
| Torino | Draw | Lecce |
43.75% ( 0.31) | 27.44% ( -0.03) | 28.81% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 47.53% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.31% ( -0.02) | 57.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.55% ( -0.01) | 78.45% ( 0.02) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0.15) | 26.18% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.73% ( 0.2) | 61.27% ( -0.2) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( -0.23) | 35.62% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.61% ( -0.24) | 72.39% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Torino | Draw | Lecce |
| 1-0 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.75% | 1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.02% Total : 28.81% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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