SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | AC Milan | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Napoli | 3 | 7 | 7 |
| 5 | Lazio | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 15 | Lecce | 3 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Bologna | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
64.16% ( -0.27) | 20.34% ( 0.16) | 15.5% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.48% ( -0.46) | 43.52% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.09% ( -0.45) | 65.91% ( 0.45) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.15% ( -0.22) | 12.85% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.78% ( -0.45) | 39.22% ( 0.45) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% ( -0.13) | 40.85% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.58% ( -0.12) | 77.42% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.18% Total : 64.16% | 1-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.34% | 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.29% ( 0)Other @ 1.77% Total : 15.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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