SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 60.86%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.39%) and 1-0 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
60.86% ( 0.03) | 20.62% ( -0.01) | 18.52% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.1% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.66% ( 0.03) | 39.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( 0.03) | 61.67% ( -0.04) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.49% ( 0.02) | 12.51% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 61.49% ( 0.04) | 38.51% ( -0.04) |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.26% ( -0) | 34.73% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.54% ( -0) | 71.46% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.03% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.5% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.89% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.76% Total : 60.86% | 1-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.25% 0-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.05% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.43% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.85% 1-3 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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