Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 17.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
