SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.02%) and 2-1 (7.69%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Malaga |
39.99% ( -0.02) | 29.72% ( -0.04) | 30.29% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 42.09% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.21% ( 0.14) | 64.78% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.26% ( 0.1) | 83.74% ( -0.1) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.27% ( 0.06) | 31.72% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.85% ( 0.07) | 68.14% ( -0.07) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( 0.12) | 38.34% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.9% ( 0.12) | 75.1% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 13.96% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 39.99% | 1-1 @ 13.38% 0-0 @ 12.16% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.71% | 0-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 30.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 31 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 58 |
| 3 | Granada | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Levante | 31 | 14 | 13 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 55 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 54 |
| 6 | Albacete | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 51 |
| 7 | Burgos | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 11 | MirandesMirandes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 | Leganes | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 40 |
| 13 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 39 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 38 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 36 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 36 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 31 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 30 |
| 20 | Malaga | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 26 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 24 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
