SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 43.38%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.08%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
43.38% ( -0.02) | 29.95% ( 0.02) | 26.66% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.36% ( -0.07) | 66.64% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.98% ( -0.04) | 85.02% ( 0.05) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( -0.05) | 30.71% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.04% ( -0.05) | 66.96% ( 0.05) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.57% ( -0.04) | 42.43% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.19% ( -0.04) | 78.8% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Burgos |
| 1-0 @ 15.38% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.08% 2-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.22% Total : 43.38% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.4% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 11.17% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.79% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.11% Total : 26.66% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 56 |
| 3 | Granada | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Levante | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 6 | Albacete | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos | 30 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Leganes | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | MirandesMirandes | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 37 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 35 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 35 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 23 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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