SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Eibar |
31.08% ( 0.29) | 29.08% ( 0.15) | 39.84% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 43.99% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.41% ( -0.42) | 62.59% ( 0.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.83% ( -0.3) | 82.17% ( 0.31) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.47% ( -0.01) | 36.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.69% ( -0.01) | 73.31% ( 0.01) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.3% ( -0.46) | 30.7% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.05% ( -0.55) | 66.95% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 31.08% | 1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.21% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.07% | 0-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.34% Total : 39.84% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 59 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 30 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 57 |
| 3 | Granada | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Levante | 30 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 35 | 22 | 13 | 54 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 53 |
| 6 | Albacete | 30 | 13 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos | 31 | 11 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 44 |
| 9 | Huesca | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Leganes | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Villarreal II | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 38 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 36 |
| 15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 36 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 36 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 36 |
| 18 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 35 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 23 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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