SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 62.41%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.52%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.51%), while for a Lugo win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Lugo |
62.41% ( 0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.02) | 15.21% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.52% ( -0.22) | 52.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.85% ( -0.19) | 74.15% ( 0.19) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( -0.06) | 16.31% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 54.1% ( -0.1) | 45.89% ( 0.1) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.31% ( -0.26) | 46.69% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.75% ( -0.2) | 82.25% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Lugo |
| 1-0 @ 13.81% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.52% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.57% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.24% 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 62.41% | 1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.61% Total : 22.37% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.25% Total : 15.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 28 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 53 |
| 2 | Levante | 28 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 51 |
| 3 | EibarEibar | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 50 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Granada | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 47 |
| 6 | Albacete | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 45 |
| 7 | Burgos | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 43 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 40 |
| 9 | Leganes | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 39 |
| 10 | TenerifeTenerife | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | Huesca | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 35 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 13 | Real Oviedo | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 33 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 33 |
| 17 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 32 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 30 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 28 | 6 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 33 | -9 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 19 |
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