SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 50.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.47%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Las Palmas in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
22.35% ( 0) | 27.12% ( -0.06) | 50.52% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.24% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.44% ( 0.21) | 60.55% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.34% ( 0.16) | 80.66% ( -0.16) |
| Lugo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.03% ( 0.13) | 42.97% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.73% ( 0.11) | 79.27% ( -0.11) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.82% ( 0.12) | 24.18% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.49% ( 0.17) | 58.5% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugo | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.35% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 14.75% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 10.47% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 4.96% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 50.52% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 15 | 18 | 52 |
| 2 | Levante | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 50 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 49 |
| 4 | Granada | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | EibarEibar | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Albacete | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 42 |
| 7 | Burgos | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Leganes | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | CartagenaCartagena | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 34 |
| 10 | Huesca | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 34 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 34 |
| 12 | Real Oviedo | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 34 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
| 14 | MirandesMirandes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 33 |
| 15 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 32 |
| 17 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 32 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 27 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 27 |
| 20 | Malaga | 26 | 4 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 39 | -22 | 18 |
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