Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugo win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 30.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.77%) and 2-1 (7.35%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (12.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugo would win this match.
