SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 38.08%. A win for Eibar had a probability of 33.03% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.76%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Eibar win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Eibar |
38.08% ( 1.66) | 28.89% ( -0.35) | 33.03% ( -1.31) |
| Both teams to score 44.97% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( 1.04) | 61.61% ( -1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( 0.76) | 81.44% ( -0.77) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 1.58) | 31.26% ( -1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.39% ( 1.79) | 67.61% ( -1.8) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.42% ( -0.36) | 34.58% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.7% ( -0.39) | 71.3% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Gijon | Draw | Eibar |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.34)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.11)Other @ 3% Total : 38.08% | 1-1 @ 13.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.43)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.57) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.24% Total : 33.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Granada | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 50 | 29 | 21 | 69 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 40 | 17 | 17 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 17 | 68 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 67 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 67 |
| 5 | Levante | 40 | 16 | 18 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Albacete | 40 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 55 | 45 | 10 | 63 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 40 | 16 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 42 | 3 | 58 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 40 | 15 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 56 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 40 | 15 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 55 |
| 10 | Burgos | 40 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 54 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 53 |
| 12 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 41 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 52 |
| 13 | MirandesMirandes | 40 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 52 |
| 14 | Leganes | 40 | 14 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 52 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 51 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 40 | 13 | 11 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 50 |
| 17 | Huesca | 40 | 10 | 19 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 49 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 40 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 40 | 42 | -2 | 49 |
| 19 | Malaga | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 43 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 40 | 8 | 16 | 16 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 41 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 33 |
| R | LugoLugo | 40 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 28 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
