SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Huesca | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| 11 | Eibar | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 12 | Lugo | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Albacete | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 4 | Granada | 4 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | Levante | 5 | 5 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Granada had a probability of 23.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Granada |
51.29% ( 2.12) | 25.64% ( -0.75) | 23.07% ( -1.37) |
| Both teams to score 47.95% ( 0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.2% ( 1.64) | 54.8% ( -1.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.89% ( 1.34) | 76.11% ( -1.34) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.6% ( 1.61) | 21.4% ( -1.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.6% ( 2.43) | 54.4% ( -2.43) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.01% ( -0.36) | 38.99% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.29% ( -0.34) | 75.71% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.86% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.22)3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.4)3-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.33)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 1.85% ( 0.21)Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.29% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( -0.31) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.55)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.78% Total : 25.63% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.47% Total : 23.07% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
| 2 | Granada | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 | Levante | 38 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 65 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 65 |
| 5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
| 6 | Albacete | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
| 8 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 52 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
| 10 | MirandesMirandes | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 51 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 50 |
| 12 | Burgos | 37 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 50 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 49 |
| 14 | Huesca | 37 | 10 | 17 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 47 |
| 15 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 47 |
| 16 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 17 | Leganes | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 46 |
| 18 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 19 | Malaga | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 39 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 36 |
| R | UD Ibiza | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 29 |
| R | LugoLugo | 37 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 27 |
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