Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.99%) and 0-2 (7.97%). The likeliest Leganes win was 1-0 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
0.17) 
-0.18) 
