SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
| 9 | Cartagena | 41 | 5 | 57 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Burgos | 41 | 0 | 54 |
| 12 | Leganes | 41 | -1 | 53 |
| 13 | Mirandes | 42 | -4 | 52 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ponferradina win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Leganes had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ponferradina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Leganes win was 0-1 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ponferradina | Draw | Leganes |
44.41% ( -0.18) | 27.6% ( 0.01) | 27.98% ( 0.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.6% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.36% ( 0.04) | 58.64% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.81% ( 0.03) | 79.19% ( -0.03) |
| Ponferradina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.72% ( -0.07) | 26.28% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.6% ( -0.1) | 61.39% ( 0.1) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( 0.16) | 36.79% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.42% ( 0.16) | 73.58% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ponferradina | Draw | Leganes |
| 1-0 @ 12.92% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 44.41% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.46% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.82% Total : 27.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 65 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 61 |
| 4 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | Albacete | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Burgos | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | Huesca | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
| 10 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 12 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 15 | MirandesMirandes | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
| 17 | Real Oviedo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 40 |
| 18 | Leganes | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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