Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cartagena win with a probability of 48.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 25.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cartagena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.45%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
