Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 19.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.42%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
