Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 44.35%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 27.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.98%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.