Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 44.92%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Leganes win it was 0-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Oviedo in this match.
0.05) 
-0.25) 
