Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 50.38%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 23.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
