SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 41 | 9 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Huesca | 40 | 6 | 51 |
| 15 | UD Ibiza | 40 | -5 | 51 |
| 16 | Lugo | 41 | -7 | 47 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Oviedo win with a probability of 54.11%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for UD Ibiza had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Oviedo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a UD Ibiza win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Oviedo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Oviedo | Draw | UD Ibiza |
54.11% ( -0.43) | 24.01% ( 0.09) | 21.87% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.33% ( 0) | 49.67% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.31% | 71.68% ( -0) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.73% ( -0.16) | 18.26% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.68% ( -0.27) | 49.31% ( 0.27) |
| UD Ibiza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.33) | 37.26% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.95% ( 0.33) | 74.05% ( -0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Oviedo | Draw | UD Ibiza |
| 1-0 @ 11.57% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 3.33% Total : 54.11% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.81% 2-2 @ 4.79% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.01% | 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.67% Total : 21.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 37 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 66 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 63 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Levante | 37 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 39 | 26 | 13 | 62 |
| 6 | Albacete | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 58 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 56 |
| 8 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 30 | 9 | 51 |
| 9 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Oviedo | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 49 |
| 11 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 37 | 11 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 48 |
| 12 | TenerifeTenerife | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 46 |
| 13 | Huesca | 36 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 46 |
| 14 | Villarreal II | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 46 |
| 15 | Leganes | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 45 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | Malaga | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 36 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 37 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 37 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 59 | -28 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 27 |
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