SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Girona | 41 | 15 | 67 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 41 | 9 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 41 | 9 | 67 |
| 7 | Real Oviedo | 41 | 15 | 65 |
| 8 | Ponferradina | 41 | 3 | 63 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 52.36%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Oviedo |
52.36% ( 0.09) | 26.02% ( -0.08) | 21.62% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 45.24% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.52% ( 0.3) | 57.48% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.72% ( 0.24) | 78.28% ( -0.23) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.95% ( 0.16) | 22.05% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.61% ( 0.25) | 55.39% ( -0.24) |
| Real Oviedo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.04% ( 0.17) | 41.96% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.6% ( 0.15) | 78.4% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Las Palmas | Draw | Real Oviedo |
| 1-0 @ 13.98% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.89% Total : 52.35% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.01% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1.13% Total : 21.62% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 65 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 61 |
| 4 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | CartagenaCartagena | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | Albacete | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Burgos | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | Huesca | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
| 10 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 12 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 15 | Leganes | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 17 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
| 18 | Real Oviedo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 40 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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