Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Mirandes had a probability of 19.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Mirandes win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match.
