SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Granada had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (11.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Granada |
36.95% ( 0.13) | 28.66% ( 0.04) | 34.39% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 45.79% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.31% ( -0.16) | 60.69% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.24% ( -0.12) | 80.76% ( 0.12) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.51% ( 0) | 31.49% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.12% ( 0) | 67.88% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.84% ( -0.2) | 33.16% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.24% ( -0.23) | 69.76% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 12.06% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.65% | 0-1 @ 11.52% 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.54% Total : 34.38% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Levante | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Granada | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Albacete | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Burgos | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Leganes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Huesca | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 35 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 20 |
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