Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 52.54%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 21.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Alaves |
52.54% ( -0.05) | 26.04% ( 0) | 21.42% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.93% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.24% ( 0.02) | 57.76% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.5% ( 0.02) | 78.5% ( -0.02) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.91% ( -0.01) | 22.09% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.55% ( -0.02) | 55.45% ( 0.02) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.68% ( 0.06) | 42.32% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.29% ( 0.05) | 78.71% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.61% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 12.13% 0-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.42% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | EibarEibar | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 42 | 32 | 10 | 67 |
2 | Granada | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 47 | 28 | 19 | 65 |
3 | Levante | 38 | 16 | 17 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 65 |
4 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 43 | 30 | 13 | 65 |
5 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 16 | 16 | 6 | 43 | 27 | 16 | 64 |
6 | Albacete | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 49 | 44 | 5 | 59 |
7 | CartagenaCartagena | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 57 |
8 | Burgos | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 53 |
9 | Real Oviedo | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 52 |
10 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 51 |
11 | MirandesMirandes | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 51 |
12 | TenerifeTenerife | 38 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 50 |
13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 49 |
14 | Huesca | 38 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 48 |
15 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 48 |
16 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 47 |
17 | Villarreal II | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 46 |
18 | Leganes | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 46 |
19 | Malaga | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 40 |
20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 38 | 7 | 15 | 16 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 36 |
R | UD Ibiza | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 29 |
R | LugoLugo | 38 | 5 | 12 | 21 | 23 | 51 | -28 | 27 |
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