SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 26.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Sporting Gijon win it was 0-1 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
43.53% ( 0.32) | 29.54% ( -0.13) | 26.93% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 41.01% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.66% ( 0.29) | 65.34% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% ( 0.2) | 84.13% ( -0.2) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.03% ( 0.32) | 29.97% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.91% ( 0.38) | 66.08% ( -0.39) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.56% | 41.44% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 22.05% | 77.94% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 43.52% | 1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 12.41% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.22% Total : 26.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 40 | 30 | 10 | 65 |
| 2 | Granada | 36 | 19 | 7 | 10 | 46 | 26 | 20 | 64 |
| 3 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 62 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 62 |
| 5 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 6 | Albacete | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 55 |
| 7 | CartagenaCartagena | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 38 | 4 | 53 |
| 8 | Burgos | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 50 |
| 9 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 48 |
| 10 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 47 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 46 |
| 12 | Huesca | 36 | 10 | 16 | 10 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 46 |
| 13 | Villarreal II | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 46 |
| 14 | Real Oviedo | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 46 |
| 15 | Leganes | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 46 |
| 16 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 36 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 45 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 41 |
| 19 | Malaga | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 36 |
| 20 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 43 | -14 | 36 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 36 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 57 | -27 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 36 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 27 |
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