SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Andorra win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Andorra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (8.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Andorra | Draw | Alaves |
46.58% ( -0.2) | 26.18% ( -0.05) | 27.24% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 50.16% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.36) | 53.81% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.72% ( 0.3) | 75.28% ( -0.3) |
| FC Andorra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.92% ( 0.06) | 23.08% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.08% ( 0.09) | 56.92% ( -0.09) |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.21% ( 0.4) | 34.79% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.48% ( 0.42) | 71.52% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Andorra | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.58% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.18% | 0-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.14% Total : 27.24% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | EibarEibar | 35 | 18 | 11 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 65 |
| 2 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 62 |
| 3 | Granada | 35 | 18 | 7 | 10 | 44 | 25 | 19 | 61 |
| 4 | Levante | 35 | 15 | 16 | 4 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 61 |
| 5 | AlavesAlaves | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 60 |
| 6 | CartagenaCartagena | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 53 |
| 7 | Albacete | 35 | 13 | 13 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 52 |
| 8 | Burgos | 35 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 49 |
| 9 | Huesca | 35 | 10 | 16 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
| 10 | Villarreal II | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 40 | 43 | -3 | 46 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 44 |
| 12 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 35 | 36 | -1 | 44 |
| 13 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 44 |
| 14 | TenerifeTenerife | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 43 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 43 |
| 16 | Leganes | 35 | 11 | 10 | 14 | 29 | 35 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | MirandesMirandes | 35 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 42 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 31 | 33 | -2 | 41 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 35 |
| 20 | Malaga | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 33 |
| 21 | UD Ibiza | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
| 22 | LugoLugo | 35 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 21 | 44 | -23 | 27 |
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