Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.
