SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Malaga had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Malaga win it was 0-1 (7.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Malaga |
56.35% ( 0.01) | 25.93% ( 0.13) | 17.71% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 40.12% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.76% ( -0.59) | 61.23% ( 0.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.83% ( -0.44) | 81.16% ( 0.44) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% ( -0.24) | 21.93% ( 0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.8% ( -0.36) | 55.2% ( 0.36) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.38% ( -0.54) | 48.61% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 16.32% ( -0.39) | 83.67% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Malaga |
| 1-0 @ 16.17% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 56.34% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.42% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 29 | 15 | 11 | 3 | 35 | 15 | 20 | 56 |
| 2 | Levante | 29 | 14 | 12 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 54 |
| 3 | AlavesAlaves | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 53 |
| 4 | EibarEibar | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | Granada | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 51 |
| 6 | Albacete | 29 | 12 | 11 | 6 | 37 | 31 | 6 | 47 |
| 7 | Burgos | 29 | 11 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 45 |
| 8 | CartagenaCartagena | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 41 |
| 9 | Leganes | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 40 |
| 10 | Huesca | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 37 |
| 11 | TenerifeTenerife | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 37 |
| 12 | Villarreal II | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 37 |
| 13 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 29 | 8 | 12 | 9 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 36 |
| 14 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 27 | 1 | 35 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 19 | 24 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 34 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 33 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 29 |
| 20 | Malaga | 29 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 25 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 29 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 22 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 29 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 22 | 46 | -24 | 20 |
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