Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 21.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Eibar in this match.
-0.05) 
0.15) 
